Thursday, March 6, 2008

Perpetuities

A perpetuity is a series of equal payments over an infinite time period into the future. Consider the case of a cash payment C made at the end of each year at interest rate i, as shown in the following time line:


Perpetuity Time Line

0


1


2


3



PV

C

C

C




Because this cash flow continues forever, the present value is given by an infinite series:


PV = C / ( 1 + i ) + C / ( 1 + i )2 + C / ( 1 + i )3 + . . .


From this infinite series, a usable present value formula can be derived by first dividing each side by ( 1 + i ).


PV / ( 1 + i ) = C / ( 1 + i )2 + C / ( 1 + i )3 + C / ( 1 + i )4 + . . .


In order to eliminate most of the terms in the series, subtract the second equation from the first equation:


PV - PV / ( 1 + i ) = C / ( 1 + i )


Solving for PV, the present value of a perpetuity is given by:

PV =

C

i

Growing Perpetuities

Sometimes the payments in a perpetuity are not constant but rather, increase at a certain growth rate g as depicted in the following time line:


Growing Perpetuity Time Line

0


1


2


3



PV

C

C(1+g)

C(1+g)2




The present value of a growing perpetuity can be written as the following infinite series:

PV =

C

( 1 + i )

+

C ( 1 + g )

( 1 + i )2

+

C ( 1 + g )2

( 1 + i )3

+ . . .



To simplify this expression, first multiply each side by (1 + g) / (1 + i):

PV ( 1 + g)

( 1 + i )

=

C ( 1 + g )

( 1 + i )2

+

C ( 1 + g )2

( 1 + i )3

+ . . .



Then subtract the second equation from the first:

PV -

PV ( 1 + g)

( 1 + i )

=

C

( 1 + i )

Finally, solving for PV yields the expression for the present value of a growing perpetuity:

PV =

C

i - g

For this expression to be valid, the growth rate must be less than the interest rate, that is, g < i .

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